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Conquering the future with passive investing

November 16, 2016 by Chris Leave a Comment

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If society can trust technology in self-driving cars, we can trust technology with our finances.

The adoption of technology in the world of money management is a growing trend. More investors are embracing the logic enmeshed in code to create long-term growth. This trust in financial technology, or ‘FinTech,’ fosters a passive environment because investor preferences can be automated without the need for meddlesome oversight.

Furthermore, the passive investing approach is desirable due to its ease and rate of return. In this article, we’ll look at the benefits to a passive investing style and how it applies to the emerging field of peer-to-peer lending platforms like Bondora.

Automation as a Solution to Cognitive Biases

One of the most popular passive investing products today is the robo-advisor, which is a automated service that asks the investor a few questions about their goals and risk tolerance. Next, the interface uses this input to generate investment diversification in a portfolio comprised of asset classes appropriate to the individual. Once the investor sets the parameters, they step back, and their money is poised for gradual growth. This growth is possible because automated investing removes the emotional impulses of the investor whereas active investing burdens the individual with constant well-timed maneuvers to generate returns.

Why is it so important to create a remove from our assets? The field of behavioral economics offers answers by combining cognitive and behavioral psychology to financial markets. The origins of the field belong to researchers Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. In 1979 they authored an article on prospect theory, which endeavors to understand how people misguidedly interpret risk. Their research has lead to a vast body of work revealing numerous cognitive biases that distract us from our goals. A passive investor avoids these pitfalls when the engage in automated investing. Robo-advisors lack these biases.

These flaws in our psychology are often rooted in our tendency to ignore the challenges of analytical, mathematical approaches. This quantitative analysis is where robo-advisors excel. In seconds a program can analyze thousands of data points to synthesize a strategy. With more investment products available than ever before the data is growing and therefore so is the need for efficient analysis.

Passive vs Active Investing

So how has the passive investor performed compared to active investing? Researchers at Morningstar have the answer. In a 2015 publication, they reported the results of their study designed to “measures active managers’ success relative to the actual, net-of-fee performance of passive funds.” The results illustrate that “actively managed funds have generally underperformed their passive counterparts, especially over longer time horizons.” Results like this have popularized the hands-off approach.

These findings are echoed in a similar study that reviewed the performance of 24,000 mutual funds and ETFs for a 10-year period ending on December 31, 2012. The results: “Only 24% of active mutual fund managers outperform the market index.”

The benefits of automated investing are amplified when coupled with the growing marketplace for peer-to-peer lending. Modern P2P platform Bondora has leveraged passivity to enable the user to generate returns without the burden of endless analysis. Therefore, more investors at Bondora are opting for their Portfolio Manager tool. This system analyzes volumes of data to construct a portfolio matching the conservative, moderate, or progressive risk tolerance of the user.

The automated investing aspect of Bondora’s P2P lending is important because it strikes a balance between risk and return. The result is an optimized portfolio that accepts the least amount of risk possible while achieving the investor’s goal ROI. How does their framework accomplish this? The answer is investment diversification. By spreading the total funds across various borrowers and credit rankings, Bondora’s investors mitigate risk intelligently.

Managing Big Data  

While there are clear benefits to passive investing, those on Bondora’s site that wish to test their investing prowess can do so with the Bondora API system. This tool allows the active investing customer to bid on specific loans based on the nuances of the users goals and risk tolerance. This granular reporting is suited for those who prefer a deeper dive into analytics to achieve a superior return. The world of P2P lending is still developing, and some of those on the ground floor believe they can realize the value of accessible data to beat the market.

Bondora’s Portfolio Manager and API framework are critical to today’s investors because it creates an efficient P2P platform. The result is a more accessible marketplace for lenders and borrowers alike. In under-banked regions more borrowers are turning to peer-to-peer lending. In many cases, borrowers with strong credit are unwilling to withstand the drag and bureaucracy of traditional lending institutions.

Amplifying Returns

On the other side of the transaction investors are turning to P2P lending as an investment product because of a prevailing notion that there will be “more muted returns, if you will, over the next decade” as asserted by Vanguard CEO Bill McNabb. Those wanting to improve this tepid forecast will be attracted to an annualized net return on investment of 16.5% seen on Bondora.

Though the benefits of passive investing are well understood, it is the FinTech industries influence that’s popularizing its adoption in P2P lending. This technological growth emboldens investors to explore the nascent world of marketplace lending. While high investment returns and investment diversification will keep an investor partnered with a company, it’s the ease of investment opportunities that will get them in the door.

Online investing promises greater advances in technology as a primary differentiator among competitors. Ever-increasing efficiencies have driven down many costs. Now, prospective investors are looking to auto investing solutions to carry them to their goals. This automation is the same technological growth that has given rise to the world of marketplace lending. The value of peer to peer lending has always been clear, but technology has made it tangible.

Passive investing has never been more applicable than it is for P2P lending. Auto investments deter cognitive biases which lead us astray, makes unlimited data manageable and minimizing costs. Before painstakingly committing to an active style consider the compounding value of passive investing in the marketplace lending sphere.


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Filed Under: Bondora, News Tagged With: Bondora, News, Opinion

Peer to Peer Investment | My Experiences

May 11, 2016 by John Carson Leave a Comment


The world of Marketplace lending seems to have fallen into complete disarray in recent times. Prosper had to lay off 28% of its workforce earlier this month, Lending Club’s CEO resigned, and OnDeck’s performance left many analysts disappointed.

It’s fair to say, that May has been a month to forget for US’ peer-to-peer lending platforms. Across the pond however, European platforms are providing a huge amount of fun for those of us who have taken the plunge with a peer to peer investment.

Today, I want to talk about the three European platforms I have been enjoying the most: Bondora, Bitbond and Mintos. Let’s get cracking!

(ALL images are Media Files. Simply click on them to magnify :))

Bondora | The King of Eastern Europe

My peer to peer investment experience on Bondora has been joyous. Founded in 2009 by the exciting young entrepreneur Pärtal Tomberg, Bondora is quickly establishing itself as a major player in the European Market. The platform boasts a net annualized return on investment of 17.56%, and over €63 million in loan originations. Although 17.56% seems a little high from where I am standing, the excellent Claus Lehmann has seen returns around the 17% mark.

So how do they do it? Well, Bondora seems to have nailed a specific niche: (mainly) Eastern Europe. Only borrowers located in Slovakia, Iceland, Finland - and the notable exception - Spain, can apply for a loan. Restricting their pool of borrowers, seems to have provided them with a great expertise on filtering out the great from the bad. (In fact, only two countries are represented in my portfolio: Estonia and Finland!)

As a result lenders located in the SEPA region can make their peer to peer investment, safe in the knowledge that they will make a return.

Initially, it seems that lenders couldn’t have it any easier on the platform. You simply add funds your Bondora account, set a desired bid size, choose your risk profile and activate your portfolio manager. As you can see from my Screenshot, I have opted for the “Balanced” approach which gives me an expected return of 14.88%. The funds will then automatically disburse into loans which fit your risk profile. Easy.

Peer to peer investment

(By my calculations, I have received slightly higher returns than that. But I will not be sending a letter of complaint ;))

What more is there to know? Although the process of placing a peer to peer investment seems straight forward on the surface, it turns out to be quite a convoluted process if you care to dig deeper. As Lehmann puts it:

“With the introduction of new regulation in Estonia, Bondora now prefunds all loans and also keeps a stake in the loans (‘skin in the game‘). Manual bidding on loans is not as straightforward as previously because now investors can make bids, which are not binding until allocation happens.”

Importantly, this only applies if you do not activate your portfolio manager.

Another important feature for peer to peer investors, is the thriving secondary market Bondora offers.

Bondora Secondy Market

Here, you can make a particularly cheap peer to peer investment. Subsequently, though the repayment rates are lower and the corresponding risk of default is higher.

Overall, Bondora is going from strength to strength and is providing a huge amount of fun to p2p lenders like me. Long may it continue.

Bitbond | The Future of P2P Lending

I first came across bitcoin peer to peer investing over Stu Lustmann’s excellent p2p lending blog. Specifically, it was his earning report for May which peeked my interest.

Fascinated, I started researching the bitcoin lending space, and decided to invest in Bitbond. By documenting my experiences along the way, I have tried to spark other traditional p2p lenders into giving it a shot.

But before we go into my experience on the platform, let’s take a step back to understand what Bitbond is really about and why I think it’s fascinating.

Founded in Berlin, 2013 by Radoslav Albrecht, the fintech startup has received ~€1 million in VC funding and has been growing at a significant pace for the last year or so. Now counting +30,000 users, the bitcoin lending platform specialises in providing small business loans to borrowers around the world. The international aspect of Bitbond is exciting, and is the reason why bitcoin is used.

By cutting the banks out of the process, lenders can place a peer to peer investment and borrowers can take out a loan regardless of location. The thought of supporting small business owners globally seemed pretty cool to me, so I started investing.

As I suspected, the more personal experience Bitbond offers has proven itself to be massively enjoyable. Currently, I am supporting an eBay powerseller from Portugal,  an Indonesian Taxi Driver, and an Entrepreneur located in the Philippines.

On the flipside, the risk investors take on is substantially higher than on the other platforms mentioned here. Borrowers are often still becoming acquainted with bitcoin technology, which can also delay repayments by a couple of days.

Fundamentally though, my portfolio is looking pretty good.

Bitbond Portfolio p2p investments

Another important point, is Bitbond’s transparency. All investors are listed on the loan pages (with pseudonyms), and can communicate with the borrowers directly via the comments sections!

Peer to peer investments

Overall, the investing process on Bitbond is more personal but less efficient than on Bondora.

You can however activate the AutoInvest feature, to automate your peer to peer investments, but I have chosen against this to maintain the human aspect of the platform.

Finally, you might be saying: “I don’t have bitcoin and don’t know how to get some, so peer to peer bitcoin lending isn’t for me.” Well, you’re entitled to your opinion, but buying bitcoin on Bitbond is as easy as transferring funds on Bondora. As long as you are in the SEPA region, you will be able to buy bitcoins directly on Bitbond.

For those of you located outside of the EU, use Circle or Coinbase to get your bitcoins at zero exchange costs.

I think bitcoin peer to peer investments will be massive in the future!

Mintos | The Rising Star of European P2P Lending

Significantly younger than both Bondora and Bitbond, Mintos, the Latvian p2p loan marketplace, was founded in 2015. Intriguingly, Mintos harbours some significant differences to other peer to peer investment platforms, because it brings together investors and loan originators! These include Mogo, Capitalia and Debifo among others. From an investors perspective, this makes the process a tad more anonymous but that’s not a KO-criteria for me.

Mintos is probably the least well known platform of all three discussed here. It’s relative obscurity belies its massive size however, with over 4000 loans listed in the primary market and a staggering +11,000 in the Secondary Market. With so many options, what can lenders expect from their peer to peer investment here?

Mintos peer to peer investment

(There are only five listed here because of the filters I have set)

Like Bondora, Mintos specialises in bringing European investors together with Eastern European borrowers. Below you can see their loan originations by country to get a better feel for the platform.

Mintos loan performance details

As per the industry standard, the interest rates for borrowers, depend on the quality as well as the purpose of their application. As you can see from the Screenshot below, in May of this year, “Invoice Financing” at 12.48% and a “Mortgage Loan” at 14.44% represent the low and high end of the spectrum in terms of interest rates.Interest Rates on Mintos

What sets Mintos apart, is the very high level of security offered to Investors. Indeed, most loans on the plattform are either secured - ie. the borrower provides collateral -  or come with a buyback option if the borrower is +60 days late on his payments.

As a consequence, the interest rates are lower than on the other platforms, and so is the potential payout to investors. Surprisingly Mintos does not (to the best of my knowledge) provide statistics with regards to the average ROI, but my personal experience has been ~9% pa.

Like this investor however, I think that Mintos could do with increasing the number of short term business loans available on the platform.

Overall though, Mintos is an excellent platform which I will continue to enjoy for some time to come!

Peer to Peer Investment | My Experience

With that under out belt, I hope I could shed some light on a few of the lesser known peer to peer investment platforms in Europe. As a takeaway, I would consider the following categorisation appropriate:

Bondora -> Small/Medium Risk -> Attractive ROI

Bitbond -> Medium/High Risk -> Very Attractive ROI and enjoyable personal touch

Mintos -> None/Small Risk -> Less Attractive ROI (but still ~10%)

Happy hunting 😉


Filed Under: Bitbond, bitcoin investments, Bondora, Mintos, peer to peer investing Tagged With: Bitbond, Bondora, Experience, Mintos, p2p lending, Peer to peer investment

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